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*** Gambling Newsletter ***
Hot News and Winning Strategies for Gamblers
Volume 4 Issue 45 - 19 MAY 2006
IN THIS ISSUE
TOP NEWS: Bonus Offers
STRATEGY: Counting’s Wins and Woes
POKER: Online Poker
SPORTS: Sports Betting
EDITOR: World Cup
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TOP NEWS
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STRATEGY
Counting’s Wins and Woes
Mark Pilarski
Counting’s wins and woes
Dear Mark,
Can a casino shuffle-up early, even on a multi-deck game, before the cut
card appears? Are they trying to stop card counters? I’ve had this done
to me on different occasions and was wondering if it is legal. Pat P.
Ordinarily a dealer inserts the cut card anywhere from the halfway point
to 75% from the top of the deck(s). Because counters gain their
advantage the deeper they can penetrate into the deck(s), casinos will
thwart a counter’s profit potential by inserting the cut card closer to
the front.
Since counter profits dwindle when the cut card is inserted closer to
the front, which by the way is legal, consistent winning for the card
counter becomes much more difficult since counters can capitalize on
higher plus and minus counts when they were allowed to access the deck
deeper.
Casinos everywhere may also legally shuffle the deck(s) before the cut
or burn card presents itself. If management suspects a player of card
counting, they may “shuffle-up” on him without warning, even after just
a few rounds have been dealt on a multi-deck game, or even after the
first round on a single deck.
Premature shuffling destroys the advantageous situation counters
typically enjoy. The successful card counter avoids the early shuffling
countermeasure by camouflaging his play and remaining undetected by pit
personal.
Dear Mark,
It has been well established, even by you in this column, that you can
gain a mathematical edge counting cards in blackjack. Do you believe the
same holds true for baccarat? Danny R.
Baccarat is a card game with one major similarity to blackjack, Danny.
Once the cards are dealt, they are then placed in a discard rack and do
not reappear until the shuffle. In theory, knowledge of the remaining
cards can be used for an applicable counting system. Because counting
does works in blackjack, some believe a card-counting system can/should
work for baccarat, being that the effect of removing any given card from
the game favors either the player or the house.
That said, personally I’m not willing to expend my already depleted
brain cells and count down eight decks of randomly shuffled cards for a
hypothetical, minuscule off-balance in my favor, especially when playing
baccarat either drunk or stupid the house only holds a 1.17 or 1.36
percent house advantage on the bank or player bet.
Even two leading authorities on counting systems, Peter Griffin and
Edward Thorp, believe baccarat is not a countable game. As a matter of
fact, Griffin’s analysis showed that a card-counter could earn less than
ten cents per day by using the strongest possible count system. Talk
about minimum wage!
Likewise, I’ll band with Thorp and Griffin, even though I once learned a
supposedly simple counting method that an old-time pit boss named Dennis
taught me when I first learned to deal mini-baccarat. I’m sure it was
for my amusement and not to protect the casino’s war chest, since we
seldom saw a wager over five bucks, but he told me to count the 4s and
6s as they left the shoe. He said when 4s exit the deck, statistically
the player should be betting on the banker, and when 6s come out, the
player wager is the smarter bet.
Is this count method practical? Hell if I know, but one thing Denny was
always good for was free after shift drinks at the casino bar.
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POKER
Online Poker
Building An Online Poker Machine
Since you're reading this you're already online and, we assume, you're
interested in online poker. Whether you end up playing right away or
downloading software to play you'll want to stop for a moment and ask
yourself, "What do I need?"
Full story at:
http://www.pokerforum.com/content/PokerForum/article3888.html
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SPORTS
Sports Betting
Legalized Sports Betting
Just because the Canadian government frowns on sports betting, it
doesn’t mean you can’t lay a couple of bucks on your favorite team.
Online gambling with offshore books is illegal in the Great White North
but bettors can indulge in their hobby by simply going to their local
corner store and filling out a sheet of paper. You can even do it
without worry of getting busted by the Fuzz.
Full story at:
http://www.winneronline.com/articles/may2006/legalsportsbet.htm
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EDITOR
World Cup
Steve Johnson, Gambling Newsletter
The World Cup is coming and no doubt you are wondering who to lay money
on. Here are some teams you might want to bet on or stay away from.
Italy – The Azzurri made the Cup finals, winning in 1982 and losing 12
years later in 1994. It’s 12 years since 1994, will they continue the
cycle? Gianluigi Buffon was named to the team as goalkeeper but has been
implicated in a betting scandal that is rocking Italy. Will this
distraction affect his play and will he be even allowed to play at all?
Argentina – Youngster Lionel Messi is expected to step it up. He was
nursing a thigh injury, but says he’s ready for the opening game.
England – Bettors would be wise to think twice about England. Wayne
Rooney may not be ready for the early rounds. Michael Owen is ready for
action, but is coming off a foot injury.
Germany – Oliver Kahn, who was voted top goalkeeper last time around, is
back. Germany is host nation and will have legions of rabid fans
cheering for them every game.
*See you in couple of weeks!*
Steve Johnson, Editor
editor@gamblingnewsletter.com
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This week's Gambling Newsletter sponsored by
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